ENSO<GO>Macro Risk DeskWARMING…

ENSO Macro Risk Desk

When the ENSO cycle shifts: which commodity & sector exposures to reposition — and which ENSO→price links are causally real vs. spurious. ONI/RONI monitoring · SARIMA+LSTM forecasts · Granger + CCM causal testing.

LAUNCH DESK →SOURCE ON GITHUBfree-tier host waking up — ~30s
ENSO Macro Risk Desk — landing: ONI gauge, forecast cone, exposure choropleth, causation strip

Desk pages

Forecast fan chart
ForecastSARIMA / LSTM / ensemble cone + skill-by-lead
Global SST anomaly map
Global MapERSSTv5 anomalies, Niño-3.4 box, teleconnections
Causation explorer
Causation ExplorerGranger + CCM — the misattribution guard
India deep dive
India Deep DiveENSO × IOD monsoon engine, desk view